Jeera prices experienced a slight decrease of 0.28%, concluding at Rs 19,275, influenced by an increase in fresh crop arrivals and ongoing selling pressure from the producing regions. Increased arrivals from major Rajasthan markets have alleviated previous concerns about tight supplies, as favourable weather conditions have allowed farmers to complete harvesting activities more swiftly than expected. The accelerated harvesting pace led to a short-term supply spike rather than a steady influx pattern. Farmers maintained a robust pace of stock liquidation to enhance liquidity in anticipation of the Kharif sowing season, contributing to a generally subdued market sentiment.

Daily arrivals at Unjha mandi have stabilised at elevated levels of approximately 28,500 bags, resulting in noticeable supply pressure in physical markets. Additional pressure emerged from declining export demand trends, with jeera exports during Apr-Feb 2026 falling by 15% year-on-year to 166,536 tonnes, down from 195,164 tonnes in the corresponding period of the previous year. However, the downside remained constrained due to apprehensions surrounding crop quality and diminished production estimates. Recent hailstorms and thunderstorms in Rajasthan have reportedly inflicted damage on standing crops during the harvesting stage, raising concerns about the potential decrease in the availability of premium “A-grade” quality jeera.

Unseasonal rainfall in North-West India has resulted in delays in drying and processing activities, which has temporarily restricted the availability of market-ready supplies. Market participants noted that carry-forward stocks of premium “Sortex” quality jeera are considerably diminished relative to the previous year, thereby bolstering prices for higher-grade varieties. Fundamentally, domestic production estimates persist at levels below those of prior seasons. Industry sources estimate total cumin production this year at 90–92 lakh bags compared to 1.10 crore bags last year. Gujarat’s production is projected to be between 42 and 45 lakh bags, whereas Rajasthan’s output is anticipated to be in the range of 48 to 50 lakh bags.

Reduced acreage, subpar yields, and outbreaks of blight disease in Gujarat have adversely affected both the quality and quantity of overall production. Technically, the market experienced long liquidation, with open interest decreasing by 1.02% to 10,185 lots. Jeera is currently maintaining support levels at Rs 19,170 and Rs 19,060, with resistance identified at Rs 19,420, followed by Rs 19,560.