Jeera prices concluded with an increase of 0.85% at Rs 19,650, bolstered by apprehensions regarding crop quality and diminished production forecasts in significant agricultural areas. Recent thunderstorms and hailstorms in Rajasthan have adversely affected standing crops during the harvest stage, leading to apprehensions regarding a diminished supply of premium “A-grade” quality produce. Unseasonal rains across North-West India have also delayed drying and processing activities, resulting in a temporary supply tightness in the spot market. Furthermore, the supply of high-quality “Sortex” grade carryover stocks is said to be diminished compared to the previous year, reinforcing the sentiment for premium pricing.

However, the potential for upside remained constrained due to increasing arrivals from significant producing centers in Rajasthan and proactive selling by farmers in anticipation of the Kharif sowing season. Favourable weather conditions facilitated the acceleration of harvesting operations, leading to a significant supply inflow instead of the staggered arrivals that had been previously anticipated. Daily arrivals at Unjha mandi persisted at a high level of approximately 28,500 bags, resulting in short-term oversupply pressure. Despite this, overall production prospects are still diminished in comparison to the previous year.

Industry estimates indicate that national cumin production could decrease to approximately 90–92 lakh bags, compared to 1.10 crore bags in the previous season, attributed to diminished acreage and lower yields. Gujarat’s production is estimated to be between 42 and 45 lakh bags, whereas Rajasthan’s production is projected to range from 48 to 50 lakh bags. Blight disease outbreaks in Gujarat have further affected crop quality and yield prospects. Anticipations of heightened Chinese demand for inventory restocking persist in offering foundational support to the market.

Export data indicated that jeera exports during April to February 2026 experienced a decline of 15%, totalling 166,536 tonnes in comparison to the previous year. However, exports in February saw a month-on-month increase of 39%. Technically, the market is experiencing short covering, evidenced by a 0.27% decline in open interest to 10,956 lots, alongside a rise in prices. Support is identified at Rs 19,450 and Rs 19,260, whereas resistance is established at Rs 19,790 and Rs 19,940 levels.