Despite persistent weather-related seeding delays in important producing regions, jeera prices declined by -0.67%, finishing at Rs 23,740, under pressure from muted demand. Gujarat, one of the major cumin-growing states, is having one of the slowest planting seasons in years, with fields not yet ready. Sowing in Gujarat is reported at 3.98 lakh hectares, down 16.31% from previous year’s 4.76 lakh hectares.

Arrivals at large marketplaces like Unjha remain quite limited, supporting prices for good-quality cumin. While supply is still limited by logistical and weather issues in India and the Middle East, export demand from China and the Gulf has somewhat increased but is still price-sensitive. As the shopping season comes to an end and foreign purchases are dormant, there is no upside, but low arrivals and consistent local demand support the downside.

Farmers still hold over 20 lakh bags, with just 3–4 lakh bags projected to trade this season, leaving carry-forward stocks of approximately 16 lakh bags. Total domestic cumin production is estimated at 90–92 lakh bags, somewhat lower than previous year, with Gujarat providing 42–45 lakh bags and Rajasthan 48–50 lakh bags. Exports during April–November 2025 declined by 10.3% to 1.31 lakh tonnes compared to the previous year.

With open interest jumping 2.05% to 5,385, the market is technically undergoing fresh selling. Resistance is around Rs 23,930, and a break above could move prices toward Rs 24,110. Support is at Rs 23,590, below which prices might test Rs 23,430.