Technically Jeera market is under short covering as market has witnessed drop in open interest by 2.99% to settled at 2046 while prices up 35 rupees.
Now NCDEX Jeera is getting support at 14105 and below same could see a test of 14025 levels, and resistance is now likely to be seen at 14235, a move above could see prices testing 14285.
Jeera yesterday settled up by 0.25% at 14185 on some lower level buying after pressure on update production of jeera may rise 29% to 535,500 tn in the 2019-20.
Jeera exports are likely to have slumped over 59% on year to 20,000 tn in Jan-Mar as the coronavirus pandemic hit demand in key markets such as China.
India was at an advantage in terms of exports due to lower production in Syria and Turkey–its main competitors. During Apr-Dec, exports had grown 27% to 167,000 tn, data from the Spices Board India showed.
Syria and Turkey are yet to come in the market and there was great opportunity for India to export during the new crop season as the sole supplier but that is also gone. Both Syria and Turkey’s output is likely to double in 2020-21 (Jul-Jun).
Despite a peak demand period, the operations of spices industry in many upcountry markets have been hit in the wake of a labour shortage.
Though the industry has to work in full swing prior to the onset of monsoon, their presence in the red zone area coupled with the departure of labour has affected the functioning of many spices industries especially in Maharashtra, Madhya Pradesh, Rajasthan, Delhi.
Trading Ideas:
–Jeera trading range for the day is 14025-14285.
–Jeera prices gained on some lower level buying after pressure on update production of jeera may rise 29% to 535,500 tn
–Jeera exports are likely to have slumped over 59% on year to 20,000 tn in Jan-Mar.
–Despite a peak demand period, the operations of spices industry in many upcountry markets have been hit in the wake of a labour shortage.
–In Unjha, a key spot market in Gujarat, jeera edged up by 45 Rupees to end at 13920 Rupees per 100 kg.