Jeera prices experienced an upward movement in the previous session, concluding 0.75% higher at Rs 22,035, primarily driven by reduced sowing and constrained near-term supplies. In Gujarat, the area under sowing has decreased by 14.34% compared to the previous year, totaling approximately 4.08 lakh hectares, which raises concerns regarding the overall output for the season. Consequently, India’s cumin production for 2026 is presently projected at 90–92 lakh bags, a notable decline from the previous year’s figure of 1.10 crore bags. Reports of aphid infestations across key growing areas in Rajasthan have heightened crop risks.
Nonetheless, the potential for further gains is constrained as the new crop has begun to arrive in various mandis, with supplies anticipated to rise more substantially from March onward. At Unjha, one of the largest cumin markets in the country, current arrivals are constrained, with premium-quality cumin continuing to command higher prices. Export demand from the Gulf region and China has exhibited a degree of improvement; however, it remains sensitive to price levels. Overall export activity continues to be relatively subdued, attributed to sufficient stock levels.
Global supply dynamics are additionally shaping sentiment. Production estimates in China, Syria, Turkey, and Afghanistan are characterized by modest levels, with geopolitical and logistical challenges in certain areas constraining supply availability. In the interim, export statistics indicate that India’s jeera shipments for the period of April to December 2025 experienced a year-on-year decline of 12.08%, signifying a reduction in overseas demand.
The market is currently experiencing new buying activity, as evidenced by an 8.26% increase in open interest to 3,501, alongside a price increase of Rs 165. Jeera exhibits immediate support at Rs 21,640, with the possibility of further declines testing the level of Rs 21,250. On the upside, resistance is observed at Rs 22,280, and a breach of this level may propel prices toward Rs 22,530.